Last Updated: Mar 21, 2024 Value Broking 11 Mins 2.4K

The potential to make a lot of money from trading short squeezes is there if you know how to trade short squeeze. For example, if a short seller believes a stock is overvalued, they can borrow a portion of the stock from a broker to buy shares of the stock at a lower price. 

The broker will guarantee that if the stock price falls when borrowed, the short seller gets the borrowed share back. If the stock price rises, the short seller will be required to either pay interest on the borrowed stock or buy the stock at the higher market price.

The short-seller will have to buy back the shares of stock using the cash from the margin account. In some cases, the short-seller may want to buy back the shares for less than the price they sold. Therefore, the short seller needs to ensure that the stock is repurchased at the lowest price. In this situation, the short seller must decide whether to close out the position or hold on to the stock. 

Once the shares are sold, the short seller will have to pay interest on the difference between the margin account and the price of that stock. The higher the price, the more the short-seller can potentially make. If the price goes up, the short seller can potentially make more money. The short seller can potentially make more money if there are no brokers’ fees or taxes. If the price goes up, the short seller will likely borrow shares. 

The seller then buys the stock and proceeds to pay back the margin account. The short seller has to buy the shares at the lower market price. The seller will sell the stock to make a profit in the market. The short seller will then buy back the shares at a higher price.

What is a Short Squeeze?

A short squeeze is a short-term bullish trend where the market price of a stock is rising. A short squeeze begins when the stock price trades lower than the previous day’s high. When a stock enters a short squeeze, it rapidly rises in price and reaches a new high. It is a phenomenon that occurs in the stock market

A stock may see its share price fall from the high of the day and then rise rapidly to a new high. It is a short squeeze since the short seller can profit from the price rise. This phenomenon is common when a stock is oversold, and shares may rise by a third or more for a short squeeze. 

Essential things you need to know about short squeezes are:

  • The first thing to know is that short squeezes are not random events. They occur in the market more or less predictably. Stock market traders who understand and look for them can use these predictable events to make money.
  • If you are short of stock, you can sell it, which will rise. Then you have to repurchase it to close out the trade.
  • A stock with a short squeeze is currently trading at a high price, and you want to buy it at just the right price. You can refer to charts to see the momentum. Analyzing the charts will give you an idea of “ how the price of a share can change over time.”
  • If you decide to trade short squeezes, make sure to do it with a stop loss. A stop loss is an agreed level a stock must reach before selling it. The stop loss is the price at which you will sell a stock.

How Does a Short Squeeze Work?

Trading a short squeeze entails benefiting from a fast wave in the price of a stock as short sellers hurry to cover their holdings. While short squeezes can offer substantial profit possibilities, they are dangerous and must be cautiously approached. Here are some broad guidelines to follow while trading a short squeeze.

Determine prospective candidates for short squeeze

Look for stocks with a high short interest ratio, which indicates a big number of outstanding short positions in comparison to the average daily trading volume of the company. Short squeezes are more frequent in stocks with a high short interest ratio if favorable news or events cause a quick rise in buying pressure.

Conduct fundamental and technical analysis

Evaluate the underlying fundamentals of the stock, such as earnings reports, news, industry trends, and the company’s financial health. Additionally, analyze the stock’s price and volume patterns to identify potential entry and exit points. This analysis will help you make informed decisions and identify stocks with the potential for a short squeeze.

Monitor news and catalysts

Stay updated with the latest news and events related to the stock you’re considering. Positive news, such as strong earnings, new product launches, or favorable regulatory decisions, can trigger increased buying interest and contribute to a short squeeze.

Set entry and exit points

Determine your entry and exit points before entering a trade. Set a target price at which you plan to sell to lock in profits and establish a stop-loss order to protect against potential losses. Short squeezes can be volatile, so having clear entry and exit strategies is crucial.

Keep an eye on short interest and volume

Continuously monitor the stock’s short interest and trading volume. Increased short interest combined with high trade volume may indicate a possible short squeeze. Look for signals of short sellers racing to cover their bets, such as a rapid spike in the stock price and increased trading volume.

Trade strategically

When you spot a potential short squeeze, you can enter a long position by buying shares of the stock. However, it’s essential to manage risk by controlling position size and utilizing stop-loss orders. Consider using limit orders to enter and exit trades at specific prices to avoid getting caught in volatile price swings.

Be cautious of timing

Timing is critical when trading short squeezes. Typically, the most significant price movements occur early in the short squeeze, as short sellers scramble to cover their positions. However, it can be challenging to predict the exact timing of a short squeeze, so exercise caution and be prepared for sudden reversals.

Stay disciplined

Stick to your trading plan and remain disciplined. Avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions or short-term market fluctuations. Short squeezes can be unpredictable, and it’s essential to have a clear plan and strategy in place.

Consider using options or derivatives

Remember that trading short squeezes involves significant risk, and not all potential short squeezes will materialize. It’s important to conduct thorough research, use risk management techniques, and be prepared for potential losses. Consider consulting with a financial advisor or professional trader to gain additional insights and guidance before engaging in short squeeze trading.

Naked Short Selling vs. Short Squeeze

“Naked short selling” and “short squeeze” are two distinct concepts in the world of trading and investing. Let’s understand each term:

Naked Short Selling

Naked short selling occurs when a trader sells shares of a stock without actually borrowing or locating those shares to deliver at the time of the transaction. In other words, the seller does not possess the shares being sold. Naked short selling can create an imbalance in the market by artificially increasing the supply of shares available for trading. It is generally considered illegal or highly regulated in many jurisdictions due to its potential for market manipulation and disruption.

Short Squeeze

A short squeeze refers to a situation in which a stock’s price rapidly rises due to short sellers scrambling to cover their positions. Short sellers borrow shares from a broker and sell them on the market, hoping to repurchase them at a lower price to return them to the lender. However, if the stock price starts rising significantly, short sellers may face substantial losses and rush to buy back the shares to close their positions. This rush to buy can further drive up the stock price, triggering a short squeeze.

During a short squeeze, the combination of short sellers covering their positions and new buyers entering the market can lead to a rapid and dramatic increase in the stock’s price. This can create a feedback loop, as higher prices induce more short sellers to cover, driving the price even higher.

In summary, naked short selling involves selling shares without possessing or borrowing them, while a short squeeze occurs when short sellers rush to cover their positions, leading to a significant increase in the stock price. Both concepts have their own implications and risks for traders and investors.

Example of Short Squeeze

For Instance, company “Z,” and it is being lent on margin by the trader who sold the short shares, could be held liable, but not Company C, which is only liable for the margin it borrowed from the broker. The broker could potentially be held liable if the trader did not have enough money to cover the price when the short got sold and the price when the trader decided to buy back the shares. As a result, the broker might avoid that situation.

Intraday Time Analysis

Time is one of the most important factors to consider when predicting market trends. One can analyze different elements of trading in a day and then compare their trading performance with that of previous days. It helps to know the strengths and weaknesses of the traders and the markets. We can also find the time during which traders could make money and during which they lost money. 

A trader can analyze the day-by-day strength of the currency pairs, using past days to determine when to place the trades and when to close the trades. In the case of a short squeeze, it is to compare the day’s closing price to the opening price. Time analysis provides valuable information to traders and helps determine if a trend is still in place and if it is time to initiate a trade.

Delivery vs. Intraday Trading

Delivery is a type of trading used to trade options and futures. The delivery means that the transaction takes place at a specific time. It is a very popular strategy used by many professional traders. This trading strategy gives an advantage to the trader because it reduces risk. Intraday trading is the same as delivery, except for the transaction within a trading session. It is a strategy to help identify the right time to enter and exit a position. Professional traders use historical market data to analyze the current market in this strategy. 

Collecting and delivering stock to consumers is done mainly by companies of a limited size called traders. On the other hand, intraday trading is done by large companies called market makers. Short squeeze trading requires the ability to capture significant price changes in the market. If we talk about Delivery vs. Intraday trading, consider the Intraday trading option if you are short of stock with a short squeeze and want to repurchase it at the right time. This option gives you access to stocks traded more than once per day.

Conclusion

A trader looking to profit from a potential short squeeze should carefully study short squeeze predictors, including short interest, the short-interest ratio, daily moving averages, and industrial production growth. As the short squeeze begins, the price of the short position rises while that of the long position declines. The short-interest ratio measures how many shares are sold short and how many shares are available for sale.

If we assume the trader correctly predicts the short squeeze, she should sell the shares at the high of the short squeeze (the price is likely to be temporarily inflated), and she should repurchase the shares into cash when the short squeeze ends. The short squeeze is the rise in the short side of a security’s short interest to a point where sellers cannot find shares to sell. It is a short-selling strategy that is often used to profit from a short-term, temporary rise in the price of a security.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

The short squeeze happens when the markets witness a considerable demand for a stock with a lack of supply, and because of that, short sellers have to buy stock to cover the short positions.

It is a more direct way to profit from a fall in the stock market. The short seller no longer needs to be a skilled investor to profit from the falling market. When they borrow the stock they want to bet against, it immediately sells the shares they have borrowed.

The methods to trade short squeeze include a long-short strategy and a short squeeze strategy. In trading, there are a couple of ways to profit when the price of a stock is declining. A short squeeze is a strategy in which you borrow the stock at a lower price and later sell it back to the person who lent you the shares at a higher price.

Short squeezes can be profitable if traders correctly identify and time them. Profits can be made by buying shares during a squeeze and selling them at a higher price, or through options and leveraged trading.